Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.146591 0.174987 0.206946 0.245513 0.290721 0.341964 0.404377
2025-04-20 0.107683 0.144789 0.191273 0.253486 0.334242 0.435154 0.570409
2025-04-27 0.091162 0.133821 0.191618 0.274989 0.391383 0.547191 0.770452
2025-05-04 0.077087 0.121809 0.186493 0.285756 0.432844 0.641045 0.955858
2025-05-11 0.063383 0.107032 0.173976 0.282521 0.452053 0.704043 1.103318
2025-05-18 0.051406 0.092342 0.158622 0.271674 0.456927 0.744757 1.220457
2025-05-25 0.041640 0.079296 0.143455 0.258187 0.454754 0.772894 1.319408
2025-06-01 0.036810 0.073841 0.139851 0.262918 0.482153 0.849830 1.502967
2025-06-08 0.030868 0.065230 0.129309 0.253814 0.484307 0.884589 1.619300
2025-06-15 0.027865 0.061698 0.127378 0.259767 0.513323 0.967372 1.824993
2025-06-22 0.024833 0.057555 0.123616 0.261596 0.534665 1.038274 2.015948
2025-06-29 0.021667 0.052554 0.117384 0.257636 0.544290 1.088416 2.173373
2025-07-06 0.018798 0.047854 0.111402 0.254065 0.555658 1.145625 2.355148
2025-07-13 0.017241 0.045905 0.111033 0.262312 0.592175 1.255408 2.649963
2025-07-20 0.016851 0.046683 0.116773 0.284514 0.660280 1.434050 3.097058
2025-07-27 0.015714 0.045374 0.117527 0.295628 0.705863 1.571567 3.474378
2025-08-03 0.013847 0.041792 0.112341 0.292289 0.719144 1.643455 3.723467
2025-08-10 0.011825 0.037364 0.104357 0.281091 0.713123 1.673558 3.887167
2025-08-17 0.009971 0.033005 0.095803 0.267167 0.698851 1.683941 4.008875
2025-08-24 0.009176 0.031595 0.094745 0.272051 0.730107 1.798485 4.370346
2025-08-31 0.007919 0.028489 0.088569 0.262652 0.725030 1.829663 4.546934
2025-09-07 0.007368 0.027519 0.088209 0.268798 0.759788 1.956605 4.954388
2025-09-14 0.006732 0.026127 0.086402 0.270686 0.783748 2.060101 5.316075